Army
W-L: (10- 2) PR = 91.6177Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Rutgers Big Ten ( 8- 5, 90.3) 19-14 210 H Marist Metro Atlanti ( 4- 9, 77.6) 23- 7 214 A Northwestern Big Ten ( 9- 3, 95.6) 7-18 221 N Florida State ACC ( 3-11, 82.4) 13- 7 301 H Colorado Big 12 ( 8- 3, 93.3) 6-13 304 H Fairfield Metro Atlanti (10- 3, 83.9) 15- 8 307 A Boston University Patriot ( 6- 7, 84.3) 14-11 314 H Loyola (MD) Patriot ( 9- 5, 90.0) 18-10 321 A Bucknell Patriot ( 7- 4, 85.1) 16- 7 327 H Lafayette Patriot ( 4- 7, 79.2) 22- 6 331 A Yale Ivy League (10- 2, 92.9) 12- 8 404 H American Patriot ( 2-10, 77.4) 20- 5 411 A Navy Patriot (12- 1, 92.7) 415 H Holy Cross Patriot ( 5- 7, 83.0) 418 H Lehigh Patriot ( 5- 8, 79.9) 423 A Colgate Patriot ( 5- 6, 81.9)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Rutgers 19-14 5 0 ++ 4.94
210 H Marist 23- 7 16 15 0.00
214 A Northwestern 7-18 -11 -5 -- -5.83
221 N Florida State 13- 7 6 9 - -3.24
301 H Colorado 6-13 -7 0 --- -6.55
304 H Fairfield 15- 8 7 9 -1.98
307 A Boston University 14-11 3 6 - -3.12
314 H Loyola (MD) 18-10 8 3 ++ 5.19
321 A Bucknell 16- 7 9 5 + 3.70
327 H Lafayette 22- 6 16 14 0.38
331 A Yale 12- 8 4 -2 +++ 6.50
404 H American 20- 5 15 15 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Colorado 6-13 -7 0 --- -6.55 214 A Northwestern 7-18 -11 -5 -- -5.83 221 N Florida State 13- 7 6 9 - -3.24 307 A Boston University 14-11 3 6 - -3.12 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 A Yale 12- 8 4 -2 +++ 6.50 206 A Rutgers 19-14 5 0 ++ 4.94 314 H Loyola (MD) 18-10 8 3 ++ 5.19 321 A Bucknell 16- 7 9 5 + 3.70 |
Army Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | Army | Army | ||
| Albany | Army | Army | ||
| American | Army | Army | ||
| Arizona State | Army | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Army | |
| Austin Peay | Army | Army | ||
| Binghamton | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Boston College | Boston College | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Boston College | |
| Boston University | Army | Army | ||
| Brown | Army | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Army | |
| Bryant | Army | Army | ||
| Bucknell | Army | Army | ||
| Butler | Army | Army | ||
| California | Army | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Army | |
| Campbell | Army | Army | ||
| Canisius | Army | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Army | |
| Central Connecticut | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Central Michigan | Army | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Cincinnati | Army | Army | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Coastal Carolina | Army | Army | ||
| Colgate | Army | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Army | |
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Columbia | Army | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Army | |
| Connecticut | Army | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Army | |
| Cornell | Army | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Army | |
| Dartmouth | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Davidson | Army | Army | ||
| Delaware | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Delaware State | Army | Army | ||
| Denver | Denver | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Denver | |
| Detroit Mercy | Army | Army | ||
| Drexel | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Duke | Army | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Army | |
| Duquesne | Army | Army | ||
| East Carolina | Army | Army | ||
| Eastern Michigan | Army | Army | ||
| Elon | Army | Army | ||
| Fairfield | Army | Army | ||
| Fairleigh Dickinson | Army | Army | ||
| Florida | Florida | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Florida | |
| Florida State | Army | Army | ||
| Furman | Army | Army | ||
| Gardner Webb | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army | |
| George Mason | Army | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Army | |
| George Washington | Army | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Army | |
| Georgetown | Army | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Army | |
| Harvard | Army | Army | ||
| High Point | Army | Army | ||
| Hofstra | Army | Army 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Holy Cross | Army | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Army | |
| Howard (DC) | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Iona | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Jacksonville | Army | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Army | |
| James Madison | Army | Army | ||
| Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Johns Hopkins | |
| Kennesaw State | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Kent State | Army | Army | ||
| La Salle | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Lafayette | Army | Army | ||
| Le Moyne | Army | Army | ||
| Lehigh | Army | Army 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Liberty | Army | Army | ||
| Lindenwood | Army | Army | ||
| LIU | Army | Army | ||
| Longwood | Army | Army | ||
| Louisville | Army | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Army | |
| Loyola (MD) | Army | Army | ||
| Manhattan | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Marist | Army | Army | ||
| Marquette | Army | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Maryland | Maryland | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Maryland | |
| Massachusetts | Army | Army | ||
| Massachusetts-Lowell | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Mercer | Army | Army | ||
| Mercyhurst | Army | Army | ||
| Merrimack | Army | Army 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Michigan | |
| Monmouth (NJ) | Army | Army 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mount St Marys | Army | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Army | |
| Navy | Navy | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Navy | |
| New Hampshire | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army | |
| New Haven | Army | Army | ||
| Niagara | Army | Army | ||
| North Carolina | North Carolina | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | North Carolina | |
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Notre Dame | |
| Ohio State | Army | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Army | |
| Old Dominion | Army | Army | ||
| Oregon | Army | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Penn | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Penn State | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Pittsburgh | Army | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Army | |
| Presbyterian | Army | Army | ||
| Princeton | Army | Army 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Queens | Army | Army | ||
| Quinnipiac | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Radford | Army | Army | ||
| Rhode Island | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Richmond | Army | Army | ||
| Rider | Army | Army 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Robert Morris | Army | Army | ||
| Rutgers | Army | Army | ||
| Sacred Heart | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army | |
| San Diego State | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Army | |
| Siena | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army | |
| South Florida | Army | Army | ||
| Southern California | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Army | |
| St Bonaventure | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army | |
| St Josephs (PA) | Army | Army | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Stetson | Army | Army 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Stonehill | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Stony Brook | Stony Brook | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Stony Brook | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Syracuse | |
| Temple | Army | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Army | |
| Towson | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Army | |
| UC Davis | Army | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Army | |
| UMBC | Army | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Army | |
| UNC-Charlotte | Army | Army | ||
| Vanderbilt | Army | Army | ||
| VCU | Army | Army | ||
| Vermont | Army | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Army | |
| Villanova | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army | |
| Virginia | Army | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Army | |
| Virginia Tech | Army | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Army | |
| Wagner | Army | Army | ||
| William & Mary | Army | Army | ||
| Winthrop | Army | Army | ||
| Wofford | Army | Army | ||
| Xavier | Army | Army | ||
| Yale | Army | Army | ||
| Youngstown State | Army | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Army |
PowerWise = 116
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.45
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Rutgers ( 8- 5, 90.3) 19-14 -9.56 31.15 1.22 1.04 67.17
0 H Marist ( 4- 9, 77.6) 23- 7 -22.30 18.40 -1.22 1.04 35.66
0 A Northwestern ( 9- 3, 95.6) 7-18 -4.33 36.38 1.22 1.04 -1.61
0 N Florida State ( 3-11, 82.4) 13- 7 -17.52 23.19 -0.00 1.04 48.11
0 H Colorado ( 8- 3, 93.3) 6-13 -6.62 34.09 -1.22 1.04 -4.06
0 H Fairfield (10- 3, 83.9) 15- 8 -16.05 24.66 -1.22 1.04 48.65
0 A Boston Univers ( 6- 7, 84.3) 14-11 -15.62 25.09 1.22 1.04 54.59
0 H Loyola (MD) ( 9- 5, 90.0) 18-10 -9.87 30.83 -1.22 1.04 61.46
0 A Bucknell ( 7- 4, 85.1) 16- 7 -14.80 25.91 1.22 1.04 56.29
0 H Lafayette ( 4- 7, 79.2) 22- 6 -20.68 20.03 -1.22 1.04 39.03
0 A Yale (10- 2, 92.9) 12- 8 -7.00 33.71 1.22 1.04 72.47
0 H American ( 2-10, 77.4) 20- 5 -22.48 18.23 -1.22 1.04 35.30
------
513.05
|
winning pts = 518.7278 losing points = -5.6773
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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